Current implied probability
Minnesota 54.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Minnesota 54.2%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Nov 8, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 9, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs Minnesota
- If Minnesota wins the Major League Soccer match between Minnesota and the named outcome originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Minnesota is 55%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Minnesota 55% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Minnesota vs San Jose · Minnesota 53%
