Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026?
6.0 pts (24h)WeatherDaily3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 84%-6.0pt
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$42.5
Liquidity
$806.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 91.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 5:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If any hourly temperature value reported for KSJC in San Jose within December 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 is strictly less than 40 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Data for KSJC is available at https://weather.com/kalshi.
- Temperature values are the hourly temperature observations reported by The Weather Company for KSJC.
- The market resolves Yes if any single hourly value within December 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 satisfies the condition; a value exactly equal to 40 degrees does not.
- Data as published at the Expiration Time will be used; later revisions are disregarded.
- Hours with no reported value are treated as no observation; if no qualifying value is reported by the Expiration Time, the market resolves to No.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 84% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026? resolve?
- Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If any hourly temperature value reported for KSJC in San Jose within December 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 is strictly less than 40 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.