Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 7:13 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Athletic 45%Leader of 3 outcomes
Athletic 45%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
the named outcome vs Athletic
- This market resolves to Yes if Athletic wins the LaLiga match between Athletic and the named outcome scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — LaLiga, Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad · Athletic Club 44%
- Also available on Futuur — Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad · Athletic Club 46%
- Also available on Polymarket — Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol · Athletic Club 45%