GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Philadelphia 63.1%
Philadelphia 63.1%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
62.0% / 63.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Philadelphia vs Indiana
- If Philadelphia wins the Pro Basketball game between Philadelphia and Indiana originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NBA_Win_Lose_Class_925aa13e-b255-4ef8-85e0-534a6f0a9012.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Philadelphia is 63%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Philadelphia 63% · 3 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — Philadelphia vs Indiana · Philadelphia 64%
- Also available on Kalshi — Philadelphia vs Indiana · Philadelphia 63%
