GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Texas State 58.5%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
58.0% / 59.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 20, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
North Texas vs. Texas State
PolymarketNorth Texas vs Texas St.
KalshiNorth Texas vs Texas St.: Spread
KalshiNorth Texas vs Texas St.: Total Points
KalshiWhich party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?
PolymarketWho will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?
Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome vs the named outcome
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the College Football game between the named outcome and the named outcome originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event .
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — North Texas vs Texas St. · Texas St. 57%
- Also available on Polymarket — North Texas vs. Texas State · Texas State 59%
Open markets
SportsKALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R-2.0pt9.5%
- Buffalo+1.0pt7.8%
- Baltimore+1.0pt6.9%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $106.4M
- 24h Vol
- $9.3M
POLYMARKETLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
- Game 1 Winner+47.0pt100%
- Game 4 Winner+49.0pt100%
- O/U 3.5 Games+22.9pt100%
+71 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nflgame 26 SEP 13 Gbmin
- GB+28.0pt73.5%
- MIN-29.0pt26.5%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIDenver vs Kansas City
- Kansas City55.5%
- Denver44.5%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIMVP Winner?
- Josh Allen+5.0pt16%
- Caleb Williams+5.0pt12%
- Lamar Jackson+2.0pt12%
+42 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.5M
POLYMARKETPro Football: 2027 Champion
- Los Angeles Rams+1.0pt11.5%
- Buffalo Bills+1.0pt9.6%
- Baltimore Ravens+2.5pt8.7%
+29 more outcomes
- Radivojevic vs Basiletti
- Broncos vs. Chiefs
- Nflgame 26 SEP 13 Arilac
- Nflspread 26 SEP 13 Chicar
- Nflspread 26 SEP 13 Bufhou
- Pro Baseball Champion
- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- Denver vs Kansas City: Touchdowns
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Denver vs Kansas City: Total Points
- AFC Championship Winner
- Nflspread 26 SEP 13 Balind
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for North Texas vs Texas State?
- Gemini prices Texas State at 59% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does North Texas vs Texas State resolve?
- North Texas vs Texas State is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is North Texas vs Texas State settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: the named outcome vs the named outcome
- Where else is North Texas vs Texas State listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Polymarket.