Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 12:11 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Newcastle 40.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Newcastle 40.8%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 25, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Newcastle vs the named outcome
- If Newcastle wins the English Premier League match between Newcastle and the named outcome originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)