This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 9:29 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Aaron Judge 1+ Home Runs 33%
Market quality
8 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$71.4
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 5:40 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 5:40 PM UTC
Trends
33%
27%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs
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Manifold MarketsBaltimore vs New York M: Home Runs
KalshiMLB: Home Runs Leader
PolymarketWill Shohei Ohtani hit at least 43 home runs in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
How many home runs will each player hit?
- If Aaron Judge records 1 or more Home Runs in the game between New York Y and Minnesota, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the number of Home Runs recorded by the specified player for the specified game.
- If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly.
- If the player is listed as active but does not appear in the game, the Contract will resolve to the last fair price determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Once the player appears in the game, the Contract resolves based on the player's official Home Runs recorded as documented by the Source Agency.
