KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Ryan Kreidler: 1+ (99%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 9:46 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Ryan Kreidler: 1+
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 9:29 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Ryan Kreidler: 1+ 99%Leader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$420.8K
Liquidity
$403.6K
High liquiditySpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 16, 26, 3:11 AM UTCSep 19, 26, 5:40 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Ben Rice: 1+2%
Aaron Judge: 1+22%
Cody Bellinger: 1+2%
Aaron Judge: 2+0%
Josh Bell: 1+2%
Ben Rice: 2+3%
Cody Bellinger: 2+2%
Josh Bell: 2+0%
Anthony Volpe: 1+2%
Austin Martin: 1+2%
George Lombard: 1+2%
Kody Clemens: 1+4%
Ryan Jeffers: 1+3%
Spencer Jones: 1+15%
Ryan McMahon: 1+3%
Ryan Kreidler: 2+10%
99%
15%
11%
10%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Aaron Judge records 1+ home runs in New York Y vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Aaron Judge is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Aaron Judge starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If Aaron Judge is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, pinch hit at bats will not count towards the market.
- If Aaron Judge is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance the market will settle based on home runs recorded.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Gemini — New York Y vs Minnesota: Player Home Runs · Aaron Judge 1+ Home Runs 33%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New York Y vs Minnesota: Home Runs?
- Kalshi prices Ryan Kreidler: 1+ at 99% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does New York Y vs Minnesota: Home Runs resolve?
- New York Y vs Minnesota: Home Runs is scheduled to resolve on September 19, 2026.
- How is New York Y vs Minnesota: Home Runs settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Aaron Judge records 1+ home runs in New York Y vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is New York Y vs Minnesota: Home Runs listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini.