Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
More than 3.5 runs scored 88.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
85.0% / 92.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 9:09 PMJul 30, 26, 5:40 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
More than 3.5 runs scored89%
Compare venues· More than 3.5 runs scored
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 95% | — | $6K | $6K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 GeminiThis page | Low | 89% | — | $0 | $0 | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
New York Y vs Chicago WS: Total Runs
3d
95%
92%
82%
+8 more outcomes
65 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6K
24h Vol$6K
KALSHIRules
How many runs will be scored?
- This market resolves to Yes if New York Y and Chicago WS collectively score over 3.5 total runs in the MLB game between New York Y and Chicago WS scheduled for 2026-07-29 at 6:40 p.m.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- The Underlying is the total runs scored by both teams for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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How many runs will be scored?
- This market resolves to Yes if New York Y and Chicago WS collectively score over 3.5 total runs in the MLB game between New York Y and Chicago WS scheduled for 2026-07-29 at 6:40 p.m.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- The Underlying is the total runs scored by both teams for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.