Current implied probability
Los Angeles D 44.9%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Los Angeles D 44.9%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$21
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 12:00 AM UTCOct 16, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First 5 Innings Moneyline
GeminiMilwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First 5 Innings
KalshiMilwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First 5 Innings Total
KalshiMilwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First 7 Innings
KalshiMilwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First 5 Innings Point Spread
GeminiMilwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First 5 Innings Point Total
GeminiRules
Who will be ahead after the first 3 innings?
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome has more runs than Milwaukee after the first 3 innings of the MLB game between the named outcome and Milwaukee scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.
- If the score is tied after the first 3 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 3 innings of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions__MLB_First_3_Inning_Leader_Classdocx_ae2887d6-cdf7-4e84-9b9e-9053391f4510.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Los Angeles D is 45%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Los Angeles D 45% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D: First 3 Innings · Los Angeles D 45%