GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 5:37 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale dataNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 5:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Andrea Kimi Antonelli19%
Fernando Alonso0%
Pierre Gasly0%
Nico Hulkenberg0%
Arvid Lindblad0%
Lando Norris0%
Sergio Perez0%
Lance Stroll0%
Gabriel Bortoleto0%
Valtteri Bottas0%
Franco Colapinto0%
Isack Hadjar0%
Lewis Hamilton0%
Charles Leclerc0%
George Russell0%
Carlos Sainz Jr.0%
Alexander AlbonLost
Fernando AlonsoLost
Andrea Kimi AntonelliLost
Oliver BearmanLost
Gabriel BortoletoLost
Valtteri BottasLost
Franco ColapintoLost
Pierre GaslyLost
Isack HadjarLost
Lewis HamiltonLost
Nico HulkenbergLost
Liam LawsonLost
Charles LeclercLost
Arvid LindbladLost
Lando NorrisLost
Sergio PerezLost
Oscar PiastriLost
George RussellLost
Carlos Sainz Jr.Lost
Lance StrollLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Mexican Grand Prix Winner
- This market resolves to Yes if Esteban Ocon is officially declared the winner of the Formula 1 Grand Prix originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (FIA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a driver forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
