GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale dataNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 4:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Minnesota -2.5 in the 1st quarterAwaiting result
Minnesota -3.5 in the 1st quarterAwaiting result
Indianapolis -2.5 in the 1st quarterAwaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Brad Finstad win the Minnesota 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jake Johnson win the Minnesota 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWho will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Which team will cover the point spread in the 1st quarter?
- This market resolves to Yes if Minnesota covers a -2.5 point spread against Indianapolis during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Indianapolis and Minnesota scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Minnesota scores more than 2.5 points more than Indianapolis during the 1st quarter.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 1st quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).
