GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
79°F to 80°F 67%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$82
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 14, 26, 1:09 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Washington DC on September 15, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Washington National DC, DC on September 15, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington National DC, DC.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Washington National DC on September 15, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 15, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
