GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 16, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
82°F to 83°F 47%
82°F to 83°F 47%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
41.0% / 53.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 12:59 PM UTCOct 17, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Washington DC on October 16, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Washington National DC, DC on October 16, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Washington National DC, DC.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Washington National DC on October 16, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for October 16, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
