GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 5:46 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
71°F to 72°F 60.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
21 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$337
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
13.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 11, 26, 1:08 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 12, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport, CA on September 12, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport, CA.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on September 12, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 12, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
