GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
86°F to 87°F 63%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 1:06 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Houston on September 12, 2026?
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GeminiHighest temperature in Atlanta on September 12, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Washington DC on September 12, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in NYC on September 12, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Philadelphia on September 12, 2026?
GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway, IL on September 12, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago-Midway, IL.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway on September 12, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 12, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 83° to 84°38.4%
- 81° to 82°33%
- 85° or above17.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $72K
- 24h Vol
- $72K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Atlanta+24.0pt99%
- Miami+12.0pt86%
- Seattle+9.0pt83%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 12, 2026?
- 90° to 91°54.2%
- 88° to 89°22.4%
- 92° to 93°16.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.7K
- 24h Vol
- $28.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 12, 2026?
- 77° to 78°51.4%
- 75° to 76°26.2%
- 79° to 80°16.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26.4K
- 24h Vol
- $26.4K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 12, 2026?
- 101° to 102°48.6%
- 103° to 104°43%
- 99° to 100°3.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.7K
- 24h Vol
- $17.7K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
- 31°C+19.0pt49%
- 30°C-7.0pt26%
- 29°C-2.5pt10.6%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 12, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
- Highest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12, 2026??
- Gemini prices 86°F to 87°F at 63% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12, 2026? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12, 2026?
- Where else is Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.