GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 7:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
67°F to 68°F 50%Leader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
67°F to 68°F 50%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 1:59 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 4, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport, CA on November 4, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport, CA.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on November 4, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for November 4, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
