GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
85°F to 86°F 63%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
20.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 12:57 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 21, 2026?
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GeminiHighest temperature in Seattle on September 21, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in NYC on September 21, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Albuquerque on September 21, 2026?
GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Louisville on September 21, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Louisville, KY on September 21, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Louisville, KY.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Louisville on September 21, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 21, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 21, 2026?
- Boston+42.0pt99%
- New York City+64.0pt99%
- Providence+59.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $259.9K
- 24h Vol
- $253.4K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 21, 2026?
- 77° to 78°47.1%
- 75° to 76°40.4%
- 73° to 74°5.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $52K
- 24h Vol
- $52K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 21, 2026?
- 91° to 92°46.7%
- 89° to 90°25%
- 93° to 94°16.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.7K
- 24h Vol
- $36.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 21, 2026?
- 86° to 87°31.3%
- 88° to 89°25.3%
- 90° to 91°23.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $34.5K
- 24h Vol
- $34K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 21, 2026?
- 70° to 71°55.3%
- 68° to 69°28.2%
- 72° to 73°12.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.2K
- 24h Vol
- $33.2K
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Gonzalo-1.0pt29%
- Hanna-3.0pt22%
- Josephine+4.0pt9%
+18 more outcomes
- Rain in Chicago in Sep 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 21, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 22?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 22?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Louisville on September 21, 2026??
- Gemini prices 85°F to 86°F at 63% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Louisville on September 21, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Louisville on September 21, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Louisville on September 21, 2026? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Highest temperature in Louisville on September 21, 2026?
- Where else is Highest temperature in Louisville on September 21, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.