GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 12:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
81°F to 82°FAwaiting result
79°F to 80°FAwaiting result
77°F to 78°FAwaiting result
83°F or aboveAwaiting result
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 10, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway, IL on October 10, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago-Midway, IL.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway on October 10, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for October 10, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 10, 2026? · 83° or above 49%
