GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Phoenix 77.3%
Phoenix 77.3%Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$290.5
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
76.0% / 77.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 25, 26, 2:00 AM UTCOct 26, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs Phoenix
- If Phoenix wins the Pro Basketball game between Phoenix and the named outcome originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NBA_Win_Lose_Class_925aa13e-b255-4ef8-85e0-534a6f0a9012.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Phoenix is 78%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Phoenix 78% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Golden State vs Phoenix · Phoenix 77%