GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
$4,125 or above 74.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
$4,125 or above 74.5%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
31.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 3:56 AM UTCOct 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Rules
Interval XAU price prediction event expiring on October 16, 2026 at 5pm ET
- If the price of Gold is $4,125 or above on October 16, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior.
- Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_XAUUSDC index.
- This index provides a 60 second average of the [GOLD-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:GOLD) price.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/gold_2a7cbe98-611e-4350-9ab4-e09937e7e4a0.pdf).
