Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 12:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Miami wins by more than 1.5 goals 47%Leader of 4 outcomes
Reg Time: Miami wins by more than 1.5 goals 47%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 10, 26, 11:30 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 11:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Cincinnati vs Miami: Point Spread
GeminiNew York City vs Miami: Point Spread
GeminiChicago vs Green Bay: Point Spread
GeminiNBA: Will the New York Knicks cover the -5.5 point spread against the 76ers on Oct 20?
Manifold MarketsUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
PolymarketBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketRules
What will the goal difference be?
- If Inter Miami CF beats D.C. United by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Inter Miami CF's goals minus D.C. United's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
