Current implied probability
Chelsea 42.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 7:00 PM UTCSep 20, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Chelsea vs Brentford
- If Chelsea wins the English Premier League match between Chelsea and Brentford originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Chelsea is 43%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Chelsea 43% · 3 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC · Chelsea FC 42%
- Also available on Kalshi — Brentford vs Chelsea · Chelsea 42%
- Also available on Futuur — Brentford vs. Chelsea · Chelsea 40%
- Also available on Limitless — EPL, Brentford vs Chelsea · Chelsea 42%
- Also available on Myriad — Brentford vs. Chelsea: Who wins? · Chelsea 56%
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Chelsea vs Brentford?
- Gemini prices Chelsea at 43% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Chelsea vs Brentford resolve?
- Chelsea vs Brentford is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is Chelsea vs Brentford settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Chelsea vs Brentford
- Where else is Chelsea vs Brentford listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi, Futuur, Limitless, Myriad.