Current implied probability
Chelsea 56.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Chelsea 56.8%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Bournemouth vs Chelsea
- If Chelsea wins the English Premier League match between Chelsea and Bournemouth originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Chelsea is 58%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Chelsea 58% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Chelsea vs Bournemouth · Chelsea 57%
- Also available on Polymarket — Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth · Chelsea FC 55%
- Also available on Futuur — Chelsea vs. AFC Bournemouth · Chelsea 59%
