Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 1:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- 162837-395876
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 2:02 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probability
More than 4.5 runs scored 95%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
16 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 12:54 PMJul 28, 26, 4:40 AM
Probability Timeline
More than 4.5 runs scored86%
More than 3.5 runs scored91.5%
More than 12.5 runs scored84%
More than 8.5 runs scored48.5%
95%
93%
84%
56%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$2.7kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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How many runs will be scored?
- This market resolves to Yes if Baltimore and Detroit collectively score over 4.5 total runs in the MLB game between Baltimore and Detroit scheduled for 2026-07-27 at 5:40 p.m.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No.
- The Underlying is the total runs scored by both teams for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (MLB), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.