Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 5:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals 58.2%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Reg Time: Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals 58.2%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
What will the goal difference be?
- If FC Barcelona beats Aston Villa by more than 1.5 goals in the UEFA Champions League scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (FC Barcelona's goals minus Aston Villa's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Barcelona vs Aston Villa: Spread · Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals 61%
