Catalyst
Will Graham Platner drop out
These linked markets share the same catalyst family or an approved cross-source match.
July 14, 2026 at 3:59 AM
2 linked markets
Strongest gap: 245pt
2 linked markets2 sourcesCompare-ready
KALSHI
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhy these markets are linked
Approved cross-source matches
Approved cross-source matches
1 approved pairs
2 linked markets already have an approved cross-source match inside this catalyst.
Same-day title family
0 same-day family markets
These markets share the same normalized title family on the same catalyst day, which is why they appear together as one upcoming event.
Source structure
2 sources
This catalyst spans multiple prediction platforms, so compare value is available directly inside the catalyst workflow.
Cross-source alignment
When approved matches exist, this catalyst surfaces the strongest agreement and disagreement signals directly on the page.
Manifold Markets / Kalshi
245pt overall gap
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Graham Platner Drop out of the Maine Senate Race?
KALSHIWill Graham Platner drop out?
Largest differing outcome
Before Jul 14, 2026
Higher probability source
Manifold Markets
Kalshi
245pt overall gap
Largest differing outcome
Before Jul 14, 2026
Higher probability source
Kalshi
Catalyst schedule
Use the close schedule to understand how this catalyst unfolds across linked markets.
Linked markets by source
Review the linked markets grouped by source instead of as one flat list.
KALSHI1 markets
MANIFOLD MARKETS1 markets