One identity per real-world question — every venue listing it, with match confidence and a public correction history.
Revision 1 · Updated Jul 22, 2026, 5:35 PM UTC · 8b3d7e9f-80f6-435a-97cb-20efd87a8d86
Kalshi · open
PredictIt · open
Manifold Markets · open
Every membership and orientation change, appended and never rewritten.