What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Aug. 12?
49.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS Politics
PredictItGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: 39.1% to 39.3% (99%)
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
39.1% to 39.3% 99%+49.0ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
-
24h-Volumen
162,6 €
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Tagen
Veraltet5. Aug. 26, 17:1112. Aug. 26, 15:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
39.1% to 39.3%50%
38.8% to 39.0%0%
39.4% to 39.6%2%
37.8% or lower1%
37.9% to 39.1%1%
38.2% to 38.4%1%
38.5% to 38.7%1%
39.7% to 39.9%2%
40.0% or higher2%
99%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regeln
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average RealClearPolitics job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
- Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the average job approval of President Trump (currently labelled "Approve" in the row labelled "RCP Average") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 08/12/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
