How many "truths" will Trump post from July 30 through August 5?
9.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS Politics
PredictItGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: 181 to 200 (90%)
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 06.08.2026, 12:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
181 to 200 90%-9.0ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
-
24h-Volumen
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Tagen
Veraltet30. Juli 26, 15:236. Aug. 26, 11:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
120 or fewer1%
121 to 1401%
141 to 16010%
161 to 1801%
181 to 20090%
201 to 2202%
221 to 2401%
241 to 2601%
261 or more2%
90%
10%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regeln
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the total number of posts made by President Trump on the Truth Social social media website between the beginning of July 30, 2026, and the end of August 5, 2026, as categorized by the Settlement Source and as displayed at the End Date listed below.
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-07-30&end_date=2026-08-05&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-07-30&end_date=2026-08-05&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
- Should that source be unavailable or deemed by PredictIt to be out of date upon the End Date listed below, PredictIt may at its sole discretion either await its restoration and/or update, select the most appropriate alternate source, or manually count Truth posts (not including deleted posts or posts that are only "re-truths") that are publicly available.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 08/06/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
