How many Yea votes will Todd Blanche receive in a confirmation vote by year-end?
One-OffUS-PolitikPolitikWahlKriminalität & Justiz
PredictItGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten: 50 (99%)
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 08.08.2026, 12:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
5099%
49 or fewer1%
511%
528%
533%
542%
55 or more1%
50Ergebnis ausstehend
49 or fewerErgebnis ausstehend
51Ergebnis ausstehend
52Ergebnis ausstehend
53Ergebnis ausstehend
54Ergebnis ausstehend
55 or moreErgebnis ausstehend
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number of Yea votes cast in the U.S.
- The vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote.
- So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date.
- The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.
Should no confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche as Attorney General commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee, whether by roll call, voice vote, or division vote; or should Todd Blanche be confirmed as Attorney General in a vote that commences after the End Date; the contract identifying the range "the named outcome" shall resolve as Yes. - Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via voice vote or other procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range "the named outcome" shall resolve as Yes.
