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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. US Politics
  3. Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

One-OffUS Politics6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 7%
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

3155,1 €

Liquidität

51.417,8 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+1.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

25. Juli 25, 18:5931. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes7%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign.
  • Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,635.81+2.04%EthereumETH$1,648.54+1.21%SolanaSOL$64.90+1.32%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.31%XRPXRP$1.11+0.12%BNBBNB$594.68+1.51%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign.
  • Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.