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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

One-OffGeopolitik18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026 0%
Marktqualitat

73 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

8871,3 €

Liquidität

45.152,5 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.3% / 0.6%

Spread

100.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.3%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten

15. Dez. 25, 22:5630. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
0%
December 31
December 31
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 30, 20260%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
  • Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
  • The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Verwandte Märkte

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

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December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

3,3 Mio. €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

812.380 €
June 30: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

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How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

1856,4 €
3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,608.30+1.77%EthereumETH$1,651.93+1.32%SolanaSOL$65.06+0.76%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.02%XRPXRP$1.12-0.42%BNBBNB$595.09+1.24%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%CoindeskBitcoin recedes to $63,000 as Iran-Israel trade strikes and Korean stocks crashCoindeskYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.News

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8.
  • Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
  • The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.