Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 92.1%-0.5pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
9874,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
11
7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
14. Mai 26, 21:51 UTC27. Sept. 26, 06:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNational Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PolymarketFrench Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?
PolymarketSER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026.
- The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections.
- Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
