Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?
Politik
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Entschieden: 13.01.2024, 17:16
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Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
NeinGewonnen
JaVerloren
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The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
- If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
