Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany?
Politik
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No
Begrenzte Auflösungsnachweise
CoinRithm kann das aufgezeichnete Ergebnis zeigen, aber nicht jedes Auflösungsfeld ist vom Anbieter verifiziert.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 122 Tagen
VeraltetWahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regeln
This is a market on whether Armin Laschet, leader of the CDU party, will win an upcoming German chancellor’s election.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Armin Laschet is the next elected chancellor, and “No” otherwise.
- The 2021 German federal election is expected to be held on September 26, 2021, after which either a chancellor may be elected and appointed, or a new federal election will be held and the process will repeat.
- This market will resolve only when there is a successful chancellor’s election, meaning once a chancellor has been both elected by the Bundestag and appointed by the president.
- For instance, if the first round of elections is inconclusive and Merkel remains chancellor in the meantime, and the second round is won by Laschet, this market will resolve as "Yes." This market will resolve according to the German government’s website (https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-en/chancellor) and the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service (protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp).
- In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 25. April 2026).
- Wie wird Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market on whether Armin Laschet, leader of the CDU party, will win an upcoming German chancellor’s election.