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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Weather
  3. Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

1.0% (24h)One-OffWeather7Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 81%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

71 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

43,3 €

Liquidität

2882,4 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

80.0% / 82.0%

Spread

2.5%

Enger Spread
7d-Änderung

-5.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

9. Feb. 26, 23:3110. Jan. 27, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes81%

Regeln

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

Polymarket
  • If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

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Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

37,4 €
Ja: 25%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,702.01+1.68%EthereumETH$1,655.40+1.08%SolanaSOL$65.06+0.76%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.94%XRPXRP$1.12-0.20%BNBBNB$596.31+1.29%

Regeln

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

Polymarket
  • If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.