Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Republican Party 94.1%+1.0pt
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
251,5 €
Liquidität
16.995,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
94.0% / 96.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 18:24 UTC4. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWill the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic party win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill the Republican party win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExUTSA vs. Texas State
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Texas State Senate in the 2026 Texas midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Texas Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Lieutenant Governor's Office as a result of the specified election.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first majority leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such majority leader is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
