PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Alabama 38%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Alabama 38%Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12.572,8 €
Liquidität
1291,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
7. Okt. 26, 13:56 UTC16. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that Isaias (NHC designation AL092026) made landfall in the listed state as a hurricane, by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The landfall must occur by that deadline; confirmation may arrive afterward.
- If Isaias makes more than one landfall, every listed state with a qualifying landfall will resolve to "Yes".
- Every market in this event may resolve to "No".
- A report means an explicit statement, in a Tropical Cyclone Update, Public Advisory (including intermediate and special advisories), or Discussion issued for Isaias, that the center made landfall or moved onshore.