PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
↓ $40 28%Führend unter 6 Optionen
↓ $40 28%Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
105,5 €
Liquidität
3424,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 08:36 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketWhen will the next Claude Fable be released?
Manifold MarketsClaude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3?
Manifold MarketsWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Fable, such as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page.
- If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies.
- Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
- The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge.
