What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
16.0 Pkt. (24h)BörsenQuarterlyKIUnterhaltungMusik2Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
↑ $30 73%+16.0ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
↑ $30 73%+16.0ptMarktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1362,9 €
Liquidität
2521,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+29.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 08:24 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the standard output token price of Anthropic's frontier model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Anthropic's frontier model means the model with the highest score in the "Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index" (AAII) column of the model leaderboard at https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models among entries listing Anthropic as the "Creator".
- The "Status" filter must be set to "Current", with "Weights", "Size", "Price", and "Reasoning" set to "All".
- Only models with a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page will be considered.
- Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.