PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 54%+0.1%
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
17.097,7 €
Liquidität
44.410,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.9%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+20.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
24. Juni 26, 4:5220. Aug. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes54%
Große Trades
$1.6k63.0%POLYMARKETNoPumpvor 9 Tagen
POLYMARKETNoPumpvor 9 Tagen$1.9k49.4%POLYMARKETNoWagmi420vor 10 Tagen
POLYMARKETNoWagmi420vor 10 Tagen$3.5k69.0%POLYMARKETYes0x8c66…44f3vor 19 Tagen
POLYMARKETYes0x8c66…44f3vor 19 TagenVolumentrend
$19.5k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 Mio. €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
743.464,1 €August 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
484.906,1 €Ja: 24%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
19.426,3 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 20%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
13.414,2 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4653,8 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement (the MOU), including a 60-day negotiation period toward a “final deal”, extendable by mutual consent.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the United States and Iran publicly and officially announce an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU between market creation and August 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of a present extension of the 60-day negotiation period, a previously-unannounced prior extension of the 60-day negotiation period, or definitive agreement to extend the 60-day negotiation period.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU.
- Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an extension, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify.