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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

2.5% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikRussia / Ukraine18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30
June 30 6%-2.5%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1326,6 €

Liquidität

15.650,9 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

5.0% / 7.0%

Spread

40.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

27. Nov. 25, 12:4430. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
December 31
December 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
February 28
February 28
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 306%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
  • A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
  • An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework.
  • The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Verwandte Märkte

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14.813,3 €
Ja: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

8824,9 €
December 31: 33%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

2708,6 €
Ja: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

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Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

65 €
Ja: 13.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?

Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jul 1, 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,723.10+1.67%EthereumETH$1,654.79+0.91%SolanaSOL$64.99+0.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.70%XRPXRP$1.11-0.23%BNBBNB$597.79+1.53%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
  • A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
  • An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework.
  • The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs.