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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

GeopolitikOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope2Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 8%
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

735,3 €

Liquidität

12.229 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

7.0% / 9.0%

Spread

28.6%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

19. Juni 26, 1:1731. Aug. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes8%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).