Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
0.3 Pkt. (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%+0.3pt
Marktqualitat
76 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1537,1 €
Liquidität
29.631,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.1% / 4.9%
Spread
0.8 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
18. Aug. 26, 19:38 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.