Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes
Entschieden: 08.03.2024, 05:30
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 100%
Marktqualitat
17 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 123 Tagen
Veraltet21. Dez. 23, 17:516. März 24, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regeln
This is a market on whether Trump has >50% chance of winning the Republican nomination after Super Tuesday (March 5), according to the market https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-j-trump-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination-1.
- If the average price of Trump Yes shares is above 50¢ on March 6, 2024, ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
- To calculate the average price, the "Yes" midpoint price (halfway point between the best bid and best ask) will be captured exactly once at a random time in every 10 minute interval.
- This will be repeated for every 10 minute interval starting on March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET.
- The average of all of the recorded prices will then be calculated - this will be defined as the average price of “Yes” shares on March 6, 2024, ET.
- The recorded prices will be viewable here, once the date is March 6, 2024 and samples have been taken: [to be edited in with data link].
