Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Raphael Glucksmann 66%+0.5ptFührend unter 10 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
121,9 €
Liquidität
82.335,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
11
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 23:15 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Winner of France’s presidential election
FutuurHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
- If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.