Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Anthropic 53%Führend unter 30 Optionen
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
398,1 €
Liquidität
26.015,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 0:2731. Aug. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Anthropic53%
Volumentrend
$45321. Juli6T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
10.115,6 €Anthropic: 70%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
9247,1 €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI Agent end of September?
7030,7 €Anthropic: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6179,8 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
5550 €Before May 1, 2027: 43%
KALSHI
KALSHIWhen will Starship flight 14 happen?
2580,2 €Before 2026-08-01: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).