Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Moonshot 56%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
46,3 €
Liquidität
938,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 72.0%
Spread
2300.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 0:4231. Aug. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Moonshot56%
Verwandte Märkte
Best Chinese AI Company this week
30.194,2 €Baidu: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
3948,8 €Other: 50%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
2491,9 €Alibaba: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1142,1 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
1062 €Ja: 26%KALSHI
KALSHIBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
663,7 €Other: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.