PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Paige Cognetti (D) 68.3%+2.5pt
Paige Cognetti (D) 68.3%+2.5ptMarktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
240,2 €
Liquidität
116.557,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
68.0% / 70.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
16. Dez. 25, 18:15 UTC4. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Paige Cognetti (D) liegt bei 70%. Die Spanne zwischen den Plattformen beträgt rund 1 Prozentpunkt.
CoinRithm-Referenz Paige Cognetti (D) 70% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — PA-08 House winner? · Paige Cognetti 71%